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TABLA 09.13 |
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PREVISIÓN DE EMISIONES DE CO2 DE ORIGEN
ENERGÉTICO SEGÚN ESCENARIOS EN EL MUNDO |
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ESCENARIOS |
HISTÓRICO |
POLÍTICAS
DECLARADAS |
COMPROMISOS
ANUNCIADOS |
EMISIONES NETAS
"0" EN 2050 |
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MtCO2 |
2022 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
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TOTAL CO2 (*) |
36.930 |
35.125 |
31.657 |
29.696 |
30.769 |
19.217 |
12.043 |
24.030 |
6.471 |
- |
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ACTIVIDADES DE COMBUSTIÓN (+) |
34.042 |
32.162 |
28.708 |
26.782 |
28.115 |
17.375 |
10.968 |
21.958 |
5.820 |
655 |
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Carbón |
15.330 |
13.076 |
10.548 |
8.861 |
11.174 |
5.626 |
2.967 |
8.173 |
1.200 |
171 |
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Petróleo |
10.963 |
11.155 |
10.483 |
10.378 |
10.004 |
6.969 |
4.852 |
7.910 |
3.219 |
824 |
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Gas |
7.499 |
7.705 |
7.467 |
7.339 |
6.764 |
4.884 |
3.516 |
5.795 |
1.780 |
358 |
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Biocombustibles y residuos |
251 |
227 |
210 |
204 |
173 |
-104 |
-368 |
80 |
-379 |
-698 |
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Otras eliminaciones de CO2 (**) (-) |
2 |
21 |
45 |
80 |
100 |
256 |
345 |
167 |
523 |
933 |
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En producción de biocombustibles |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
78 |
220 |
284 |
98 |
227 |
312 |
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Captura directa del aire |
- |
18 |
43 |
77 |
22 |
36 |
61 |
69 |
295 |
621 |
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SECTORES ELECTRICIDAD Y CALOR |
14.822 |
12.302 |
9.696 |
8.217 |
10.597 |
5.352 |
3.004 |
8.113 |
411 |
-275 |
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Carbón |
10.876 |
8.709 |
6.495 |
5.126 |
7.388 |
3.278 |
1.712 |
5.156 |
42 |
21 |
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Petróleo |
596 |
393 |
301 |
230 |
310 |
190 |
128 |
135 |
23 |
0 |
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Gas |
3.201 |
3.071 |
2.779 |
2.734 |
2.797 |
1.982 |
1.427 |
2.781 |
604 |
78 |
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Biocombustibles y residuos |
149 |
129 |
122 |
126 |
102 |
-98 |
-263 |
41 |
-257 |
-374 |
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Otros del sector de energía (**) |
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1.554 |
1.640 |
1.577 |
1.545 |
1.215 |
539 |
121 |
782 |
108 |
-198 |
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CONSUMO FINAL (**) |
20.293 |
21.046 |
20.363 |
19.950 |
18.876 |
13.324 |
8.952 |
15.187 |
6.241 |
1.088 |
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Carbón |
4.352 |
4.263 |
3.958 |
3.646 |
3.695 |
2.292 |
1.238 |
2.983 |
1.142 |
138 |
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Petróleo |
9.815 |
10.206 |
9.672 |
9.669 |
9.279 |
6.544 |
4.593 |
7.398 |
2.989 |
711 |
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Gas |
3.500 |
3.788 |
3.877 |
3.804 |
3.306 |
2.496 |
1.824 |
2.543 |
1.036 |
173 |
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Biocombustibles
y residuos |
102 |
98 |
88 |
78 |
72 |
-5 |
-97 |
43 |
-93 |
-205 |
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Sector industrial (**) |
8.998 |
9.540 |
9.583 |
9.225 |
8.500 |
6.138 |
3.826 |
7.158 |
3.222 |
440 |
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Quimica
(**) |
1.330 |
1.461 |
1.458 |
1.378 |
1.289 |
909 |
501 |
1.150 |
521 |
45 |
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Acero (**) |
2.623 |
2.685 |
2.650 |
2.547 |
2.474 |
1.805 |
1.119 |
2.118 |
1.032 |
233 |
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Cemento (**) |
2.418 |
2.522 |
2.556 |
2.498 |
2.299 |
1.716 |
1.143 |
1.911 |
875 |
79 |
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Aluminio (**) |
265 |
275 |
270 |
245 |
253 |
173 |
63 |
218 |
107 |
8 |
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Sector transporte |
7.874 |
8.282 |
7.954 |
8.060 |
7.555 |
5.370 |
3.786 |
5.992 |
2.430 |
578 |
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Carretera |
5.964 |
5.940 |
5.369 |
5.165 |
5.423 |
3.594 |
2.337 |
4.213 |
1.491 |
236 |
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Pasajeros |
2.975 |
2.716 |
2.177 |
1.935 |
2.466 |
1.404 |
844 |
1.752 |
403 |
37 |
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Camiones |
1.812 |
2.050 |
2.203 |
2.342 |
1.864 |
1.508 |
1.078 |
1.610 |
856 |
178 |
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Aéreo |
792 |
1.195 |
1.415 |
1.583 |
1.129 |
1.097 |
979 |
932 |
554 |
208 |
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Marítimo |
855 |
904 |
943 |
1.098 |
803 |
543 |
384 |
695 |
313 |
112 |
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Edificios |
2.979 |
2.802 |
2.427 |
2.307 |
2.475 |
1.578 |
1.176 |
1.741 |
463 |
54 |
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Residencial |
1.997 |
1.791 |
1.526 |
1.402 |
1.605 |
990 |
683 |
1.189 |
326 |
48 |
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Servicios |
983 |
1.012 |
901 |
905 |
869 |
587 |
493 |
552 |
137 |
6 |
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Total Eliminación de CO2 (**) |
2 |
24 |
51 |
89 |
128 |
517 |
848 |
234 |
995 |
1.710 |
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Total Captura de CO2 (**) |
42 |
116 |
276 |
401 |
441 |
2.061 |
3.730 |
1.024 |
3.724 |
6.040 |
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(*) Incluye emisiones de procesos industriales
y quema de gases en antorchas |
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(**) Incluye emisiones de procesos
industriales |
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ESCENARIOS: Ver descripción en tabla 1.18 |
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Fuente: World Energy Outlok 2023 (IEA) |
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Descargar tabla excel |
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